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Delhi/NCR

Will AAP Bounce Back As It Retains Core Support Among Dalits, Muslims, Poor, Lower Class?

Aam Aadmi Party has lost the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 miserably, winning 22 seats, 40 seats less than the elections held in 2020.

Aam Aadmi Party has lost the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 miserably, winning 22 seats, 40 seats less than the elections held in 2020.

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However, the analysts believe, the party is down, but not out. It would be wrong to conclude that the Arvind Kejriwal-led party has lost its relevance or that it has been finished.

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Though the AAP has lost 48 seats to the BJP, it polled 43.55% of votes, just 2.06% less than 45.61% of the votes garnered by the saffron party.

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Also Read: Delhi Elections: How Will It Prove A Turning Point For Indian Politics, Impact INDIA Bloc, Congress, BJP, Brand Modi?

The AAP lost so many seats because it was caught in a triangular contest, in which Congress played the role of a spoilsport.

In spite of getting a meager 6.4% of votes, the grand old party played a crucial role in deciding the fate of the ruling party.
It impacted the results in as many as 19 seats, where it got more votes than the victory margin.

AAP Holds Sway Over Dalits, Muslims

At a time when the Aam Aadmi Party got a merciless drubbing, it retained its hold over the Dalits and Muslim voters. Of the 22 seats it won, 14 have Dalit or Muslim majority, thus the party recorded a 75% strike rate.

The AAP won six of the seven Dalit-dominated seats and eight of the nine Muslim-dominated seats it contested.

Also Read: Who Will Be Delhi Chief Minister? Will RSS Impose Its ‘Swayamsevak’ Or PM Modi Rehabilitate Smriti Irani?

Poor, Lower Class Continue To Support AAP

Similarly, the AAP’s vote share among the poor has marginally dropped from 61% in 2020 to 50% in 2025.

Among the lower class, its vote share has marginally fallen from 60% to 54%.

It is clear that despite the defeat, the AAP has a considerable presence among the poor and lower-class voters.

Also Read: Anti-Incumbency, Middle-Class Discontent Shape Delhi’s Electoral Verdict As BJP Returns To Power

Similarly, the women voters have once again reposed their faith in the party as more than 60% of them have voted for the AAP.

Arvind Kejriwal developed a constituency for the party deliberately and established it as a champion of the poor. Free electricity up to 200 units, subsidised water, free education in good schools, free medical care at least for minor ailments and free bus rides for women, were some of the freebies the party launched over the years with the sole aim of attracting the poor and the lower class voters.

Will Faultines Help AAP In Future?

Though the Delhi Elections 2025 can be interpreted as a revolt of the middle class against the AAP, it is clear that the poor continued to have faith in the party.

Analysts believe, the poor and the lower class may continue to back the AAP, if the BJP does not come out with a drastic step to lure them.

It can be said safely that the AAP has maintained its core support base and it may come back after five years.

It is also a fact the AAP has been ousted from power with a shift of 2.6% of votes and it can be regained next time.

First published on: Feb 11, 2025 07:52 PM IST


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